Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. Lee is an excellent golfer, make no mistake, but he hasn't quite looked ready to win a PGA TOUR event prior to the weekend. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. He shines at major championships. He is also in the top half of the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and ball-striking. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Over those 12 rounds, hes shot over par just once a three-over 75 during the second round at Augusta. Over the last three months, Woodland ranks inside the top 20 of this PGA Championship field in strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained approach and strokes gained around the green. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. March 8, 2022 6:50 pm ET The PGA Tour is in Ponta Vedra Beach, Florida, for one of, if not the, biggest non-major of the year. Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. But yeah, right now, its been good; Ive had no issues. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). Is Phil Mickelson playing the 2022 PGA Championship? Ive only seen 9 holes and Southern Hills is already up there with the best courses Ive played in my life #golf, Jason Day waits to putt on the 18th green during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. Were about to have a little bit more. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. Bet with your head, not over it. Obviously, well need a hot week with the putter. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Smith has two PGA Tour wins in 2022, including the Players, and is considered by many to have the hottest putter on the planet. Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. Bland fell just short of earning a Masters invite this year, so Id love to see him have a great major week at Southern Hills. Suh has exceeded salary-based expectations in nine straight events dating back to last fall's edition of The CJ Cup, where he finished T29 in a very strong field. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. Scheffler not only had an impressive practice round at Southern Hills recently, he also says its one of his favorite courses. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. 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Probably the first four, five events, I played with some pretty decent pain, he said at the Mexico Open. Finding a big-hitter with a good approach game should give us a good opportunity to find a winner on this course. Day has flashed signs of his younger self throughout this season. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. I lost all the muscle in my arm pretty much for not using it for four and a half, five months. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. This week, the PGA event is The PGA Championship. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Hes long enough, accurate enough and consistent enough. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. Sleeper pick: Y.E. Lee went on to record multiple top-five place finishes on The DP World Tour last year. Russel Henley($7,200) - Russel Henley is currently projected to be in the single digits ownership wise. 1 golfer ranks first in "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 50 rounds on Dye courses. PGA Tour Rising Stars: 6 Pro Golfers to Watch in 2023. He has finished in the top three in both of his last two outings, with seven top-20 finishes this season. So, good putters should fare well on this course. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener, Wyndham Championship odds: Shane Lowry is betting favorite for regular-season finale. This will likely make scoring difficult. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. Another positive for Henley is that he ranks seventh in the field in strokes gained around the green. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould - The Republic He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. The No. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. That changes this week with the arrival of the seasons second major championship: the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. Rahm has finished top-10 in five of the past six majors, including a win at last years U.S. Open. He has struggled to seal the deal in recent memory, so he'll likely need to post a low one on Sunday, sit on the clubhouse lead and watch the leaders melt in the heat of battle. Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 PGA Championship, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event. Days lone major came at the 2015 PGA Championship. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Potential shortstop sleepers. Thomas ranks top-five in SG:OTT, top 10 in scrambling from the rough and is the best one-putter on the PGA Tour with a one-putt percentage of just under 46. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. Among the top qualifiers for the Championship are Scottie Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Smith. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. Click here to make your PGA picks PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament Vikas Chokshi, BetQL.com 6 min read It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. 1. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. No more. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. Enter the Tours longest hitter (323.5 yds/drive). Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. The career grand slam has never culminated at the PGA Championship, and I think if anyone can make history at Southern Hills, itll be Spieth assuming he putts well. All Rights Reserved. Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fifth in strokes gained approach. Meanwhile, Berger ranks top-10 in SG:APR and scrambling from the rough but like Lowry, is a bit weaker than some other performers off the tee. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. Yang is in the field. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. Once you get past the favorites, these PGA Championship dark horse picks have long odds but a real sleeper chance to win at Southern Hills. Yang, +100,000. The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. The 2022 PGA Championship will be underway this week. . The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Thats enough for me! I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. He has, however, found a way to grind out finishes in the majors in his career. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. So I had to fight through it and just get the muscle back. MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. You can too! Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. the winner of the PGA Tour's Barracuda Championship in 2021 . For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. That won't be easy. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. Golf's second major is upon us as the best players in the world head to Tulsa, Oklahoma for the 2022 PGA . ET. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. Any of the top golfers in the field could win this year's major. The Florida swing on the PGA Tour rolls on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, and golf fans will be relieved to see a loaded field after last week's Honda Classic featured just three of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. After slotting at No. Hes finished T23 or better in each of his last four starts, including Top 5 finishes at the Zurich Classic (the team event) and the RBC Heritage. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. Young isnt a flash in the pan either. Sign up for an account to take action today.) No promotions available. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. We hate touts. His T14 at Augusta was his best major finish to date. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. The PGA Tour had a weird 2022. I couldnt touch a club for eight, 10 weeks, 10, 11 weeks, and even at that, it took a little longer for me for the process. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. This. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. Hes finished in the top 20 in four out of his past five starts and is fifthin "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 24 rounds. He was lurking at Bellerive in 2018 and Bethpage Black in 2019, so I don't see why he can't at Southern Hills in 2022. You arent finding any other player with four wins since 2019 being offered at odds this high. Over the last 20 rounds, Varner is seventh in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach. I'm not going out on a limb here with Hovland, as I'm sure he will be on many people's cards this week. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. Who will win the PGA Championship, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? Its a long shot, but this is a dice roll I feel good about taking. The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. Last week, Jordan Spieth was asked about the sneaky-best short-game whizzes on Tour. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. Early Redraft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) James Cook (RB - BUF) The rookie running back, known for his pass-catching, produced some hype last offseason after landing in an . His solid short game will help around Southern Hills, and if the flat stick gets hot he can keep up with anyone. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? I worry this course might be a little too long for him, but he's too good to leave off the card. (!!) His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. Sleeper pick: Keegan Bradley, +1,000. Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) . Some recency bias could be coming into play. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. 1 value play in the event. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday in Tulsa, so let's put together a winning DFS strategy. The former PGA champ is 12th on tour in SG: Tee to Green, and in the midst of an impressive T8, T4, T2 run. And names like Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and many others always look attractive. Matthew Wolff hasnt exactly had the trajectory that we anticipated. Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. Currently projected near 10% owned, Zalatoris burned many last week. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. Homas form entering the week speaks for itself: He won the last time he teed it up. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. His approach game is the weakest part of his arsenal, but he still ranks 27th in SG:APR, so he has the tools needed to challenge for his second win at the major. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. No real weaknesses. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. With all the talent in the field, it can be difficult to make lineups and player pools. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. He also has two Tour victories (Puerto Rico Open & Mayakoba Classic) on paspalum. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Jon Rahm (+1100) is currently the favoriteto win the PGA Championship, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. Southern Hills is arather long course. Since 2019, the PGA Championship has taken place in May, instead of its former spot as the fourth and final major played in August. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. Only 17 players from that tournaments field will return this week, but most are well into the twilight of their careers. I dont necessarily love Homa at +5000 (FanDuels current offering) or +6600 (BetMGM), but all the way at +8000, hes worthy of a look. A feast or famine player, Champ has been flashing some strong form lately. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. You can go out and hit 18 greens and two-putt each one and shoot 70 and be disappointed because you feel like you shouldve shot 64.. 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. He earned his first green jacket via a Masters win that was virtually wire-to-wire. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. This means it will be the longest course in major championship history, as it was in 2012. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. And yet over at oddschecker.com, a site that tracks both odds and which players are the most popular with gamblers, Champ is tied for the third-most popular bet. The same can be said of Young. Champ: We have cattle, we have horses. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. The 25-year-old has never played in the PGA Championship nor has he made a cut at a major, but he has the tools needed to make noise this week. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. That makes his +275 odds to log a top-10 finish look pretty appetizing. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. He has a lot of question marks about his health and form. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Y.E. Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three . This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine.